The GEO Group, Inc.
General ticker "GEO" information:
- Sector: Industrials
- Industry: Security & Protection Services
- Capitalization: $2.6B (TTM average)
The GEO Group, Inc. follows the US Stock Market performance with the rate: 52.5%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 1.9%: low 30.64$, high 31.85$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 18000 (+9.1%) as of 2025
- US accounted for 91.4% of revenue in the fiscal year ended 2024-12-31
- Top business risk factors: Public opposition, Liquidity and credit risks, Operational and conduct risks, Government budget constraints, Market competition
- Current price 42.4% above estimated high
- Earnings for 6 months up through Q2 exceed our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2025-12-31 to 2027-12-31
- 2025-12-31 to 2026-12-31 estimated range: [11.41$, 21.46$]
- 2026-12-31 to 2027-12-31 estimated range: [9.30$, 17.87$]
Financial Metrics affecting the GEO estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 19.0 at the end of fiscal year the price was low
- Positive: 7.80 < Operating profit margin, % of 9.78
- Negative: Interest expense per share per price, % of 7.03 > 3.34
- Negative: negative Industry operating cash flow (median)
- Negative: Industry operating profit margin (median), % of -3.86 <= 2.92
- Negative: -0.75 < Inventory ratio change, % of 0
- Positive: 18.97 < Shareholder equity ratio, % of 39.18 <= 42.26
- Positive: Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 6.10 > 6.06
Short-term GEO quotes
Long-term GEO plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $2,413.17MM | $2,423.70MM | $2,631.55MM |
| Operating Expenses | $2,060.78MM | $2,113.73MM | $2,374.06MM |
| Operating Income | $352.39MM | $309.98MM | $257.49MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-214.34MM | $-271.38MM | $82.54MM |
| Interest Expense | $218.29MM | $190.62MM | $160.52MM |
| Income(Loss) | $138.05MM | $38.59MM | $340.03MM |
| Taxes | $35.40MM | $9.40MM | $85.72MM |
| Other Income(Loss) | $4.53MM | $2.70MM | $4.53MM |
| Net Income(Loss)* | $107.33MM | $31.97MM | $254.37MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $1,291.77MM | $1,334.94MM | $1,505.81MM |
| Assets | $3,696.41MM | $3,632.08MM | $3,843.62MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $277.78MM | $242.24MM | $72.61MM |
| Capital expenditure | $73.00MM | $78.69MM | $197.51MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-53.42MM | $-101.72MM | $105.68MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-208.08MM | $-168.89MM | $-185.66MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $0.88 | $0.24 | $1.82 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.