The GEO Group, Inc.
General ticker "GEO" information:
- Sector: Industrials
- Industry: Commercial Services & Supplies
- Capitalization: $3.5B (TTM average)
The GEO Group, Inc. does not follow the US Stock Market performance with the rate: -20.2%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 1.7%: low 16.54$, high 17.10$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 16500 (+0.6%) as of 2024
- US accounted for 91.4% of revenue in the fiscal year ended 2024-12-31
- Top business risk factors: Liquidity and credit risks, Government contract risks, Interest rate fluctuations, Market competition, Technological obsolescence
- Earnings for 9 months up through Q3 are below our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2024-12-31 to 2026-12-31
- 2024-12-31 to 2025-12-31 estimated range: [18.12$, 30.49$]
- 2025-12-31 to 2026-12-31 estimated range: [16.01$, 27.52$]
Financial Metrics affecting the GEO estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 37.0 at the end of fiscal year the price was neutral
- Positive: 7.86 < Operating profit margin, % of 12.79
- Negative: negative Industry operating cash flow (median)
- Negative: Investing cash flow per share per price, % of -2.79 <= -0.66
- Positive: -2.95 < Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 0.80
- Positive: -8.75 < Industry operating profit margin (median), % of -7.16
- Positive: 18.93 < Shareholder equity ratio, % of 36.75 <= 41.86
Short-term GEO quotes
Long-term GEO plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $2,376.73MM | $2,413.17MM | $2,423.70MM |
| Operating Expenses | $1,992.78MM | $2,060.78MM | $2,113.73MM |
| Operating Income | $383.94MM | $352.39MM | $309.98MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-154.12MM | $-214.34MM | $-271.38MM |
| Interest Expense | $164.55MM | $218.29MM | $190.62MM |
| Income(Loss) | $229.82MM | $138.05MM | $38.59MM |
| Taxes | $62.90MM | $35.40MM | $9.40MM |
| Other Income(Loss) | $4.77MM | $4.53MM | $2.70MM |
| Profit(Loss)* | $171.81MM | $107.33MM | $31.97MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $1,166.40MM | $1,291.77MM | $1,334.94MM |
| Assets | $3,760.38MM | $3,696.41MM | $3,632.08MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $287.98MM | $277.78MM | $242.24MM |
| Capital expenditure | $90.03MM | $73.00MM | $78.69MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $11.39MM | $-53.42MM | $-101.72MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-699.10MM | $-208.08MM | $-168.89MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $1.42 | $0.88 | $0.24 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.