Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
General ticker "LOPE" information:
- Sector: Consumer Staples
- Industry: Education & Training Services
- Capitalization: $4.9B (TTM average)
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. does not follow the US Stock Market performance with the rate: -19.8%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 1.8%: low 141.94$, high 147.05$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 5830 (+0.5%) as of 2024
- Company does not operate outside US (retrieved using AI)
- Top business risk factors: Decline in GCU enrollment, Market competition, Cybersecurity threats, Regulatory and compliance, Attracting new students
- Price in estimated range
- Earnings for 3 months up through Q1 exceed our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2025-12-31 to 2027-12-31
- 2025-12-31 to 2026-12-31 estimated range: [132.70$, 191.70$]
- 2026-12-31 to 2027-12-31 estimated range: [133.95$, 193.05$]
Financial Metrics affecting the LOPE estimates:
- Negative: with PPE of 18.4 at the end of fiscal year the price was very high
- Positive: Operating profit margin, % of 27.45 > 18.39
- Positive: -9.55 < Industry operating profit margin (median), % of -0.52
- Positive: Shareholder equity ratio, % of 75.27 > 64.29
- Positive: 0.05 < Industry earnings per price (median), % of 1.58
- Positive: Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 17.89 > 6.06
- Positive: Inventory ratio change, % of 0 <= 0
- Negative: Operating cash flow per share per price, % of 5.87 <= 6.59
Short-term LOPE quotes
Long-term LOPE plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $960.90MM | $1,033.00MM | $1,106.07MM |
| Operating Expenses | $711.64MM | $757.60MM | $802.45MM |
| Operating Income | $249.26MM | $275.40MM | $303.62MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $10.42MM | $15.92MM | $-23.77MM |
| Interest Expense | $0.03MM | $0.00MM | $0.00MM |
| Income(Loss) | $259.68MM | $291.31MM | $279.85MM |
| Taxes | $54.69MM | $65.08MM | $63.68MM |
| Net Income(Loss)* | $204.99MM | $226.23MM | $216.17MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $718.01MM | $783.85MM | $746.93MM |
| Assets | $930.46MM | $1,018.42MM | $992.30MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $243.66MM | $289.96MM | $273.49MM |
| Capital expenditure | $45.43MM | $37.25MM | $34.84MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-80.47MM | $61.37MM | $-221.59MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-137.12MM | $-173.18MM | $-264.76MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $6.83 | $7.77 | $7.76 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.