El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
General ticker "LOCO" information:
- Sector: Consumer Discretionary
- Industry: Restaurants
- Capitalization: $310.7M (TTM average)
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. follows the US Stock Market performance with the rate: 36.0%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 2.6%: low 14.16$, high 14.93$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 4143 (-5.0%) as of 2024
- Top business risk factors: Economic downturns and volatility, Market competition, Food safety concerns, Disruption to business operations, Regulatory and compliance
- Price in estimated range
- Earnings for 3 months up through Q1 exceed our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2025-12-31 to 2027-12-31
- 2025-12-31 to 2026-12-31 estimated range: [9.71$, 14.16$]
- 2026-12-31 to 2027-12-31 estimated range: [10.53$, 15.28$]
Financial Metrics affecting the LOCO estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 10.9 at the end of fiscal year the price was low
- Positive: Operating cash flow per share per price, % of 15.23 > 12.90
- Positive: 7.54 < Operating profit margin, % of 8.66
- Negative: 0 < Industry inventory ratio change (median), % of 0.15
- Positive: 1.81 < Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 4.18
- Negative: Investing cash flow per share per price, % of -7.17 <= -4.41
- Negative: Industry operating profit margin (median), % of 3.10 <= 9.60
- Negative: Industry earnings per price (median), % of 1.59 <= 4.45
Short-term LOCO quotes
Long-term LOCO plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-25 | 2025-12-31 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $468.66MM | $473.01MM | $490.05MM |
| Operating Expenses | $428.87MM | $431.84MM | $447.59MM |
| Operating Income | $39.79MM | $41.17MM | $42.46MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-4.91MM | $-5.88MM | $-4.88MM |
| Interest Expense | $4.81MM | $5.90MM | $4.47MM |
| Income(Loss) | $34.88MM | $35.29MM | $37.58MM |
| Taxes | $9.32MM | $9.61MM | $11.09MM |
| Net Income(Loss)* | $25.55MM | $25.68MM | $40.95MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $250.70MM | $260.67MM | $291.08MM |
| Inventory | $1.91MM | $1.94MM | $0.00MM |
| Assets | $592.30MM | $592.01MM | $606.65MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $40.69MM | $46.78MM | $48.08MM |
| Capital expenditure | $21.33MM | $19.08MM | $22.64MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-13.45MM | $-18.94MM | $-22.64MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-40.45MM | $-32.65MM | $-21.70MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $0.75 | $0.86 | $1.40 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.