El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
General ticker "LOCO" information:
- Sector: Consumer Discretionary
- Industry: Restaurants
- Capitalization: $308.8M (TTM average)
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. follows the US Stock Market performance with the rate: 23.0%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 1.3%: low 11.11$, high 11.40$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 4143 (-5.0%) as of 2024
- Top business risk factors: Economic downturns and volatility, Market competition, Food safety concerns, Disruption to business operations, Regulatory and compliance
- Earnings for 9 months up through Q3 are close to our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2024-12-25 to 2026-12-25
- 2024-12-25 to 2025-12-25 estimated range: [10.41$, 15.71$]
- 2025-12-25 to 2026-12-25 estimated range: [10.71$, 16.25$]
Financial Metrics affecting the LOCO estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 13.5 at the end of fiscal year the price was low
- Positive: 7.54 < Operating profit margin, % of 8.70
- Positive: Operating cash flow per share per price, % of 13.01 > 12.91
- Positive: 1.77 < Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 4.16
- Positive: Interest expense per share per price, % of 1.64 <= 3.31
- Positive: 5.42 < Industry operating cash flow per share per price (median), % of 5.45
- Positive: Industry inventory ratio change (median), % of 0.21 <= 0.28
Short-term LOCO quotes
Long-term LOCO plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $469.96MM | $468.66MM | $473.01MM |
| Operating Expenses | $439.84MM | $428.87MM | $431.84MM |
| Operating Income | $30.12MM | $39.79MM | $41.17MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-1.24MM | $-4.91MM | $-5.88MM |
| Interest Expense | $1.68MM | $4.81MM | $5.90MM |
| Income(Loss) | $28.88MM | $34.88MM | $35.29MM |
| Taxes | $8.08MM | $9.32MM | $9.61MM |
| Profit(Loss)* | $20.80MM | $25.55MM | $25.68MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $281.15MM | $250.70MM | $260.67MM |
| Inventory | $2.44MM | $1.91MM | $1.94MM |
| Assets | $597.22MM | $592.30MM | $592.01MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $38.55MM | $40.69MM | $46.78MM |
| Capital expenditure | $19.92MM | $21.33MM | $19.08MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-18.91MM | $-13.45MM | $-18.94MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-29.19MM | $-40.45MM | $-32.65MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $0.57 | $0.75 | $0.86 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.