Duolingo, Inc.
General ticker "DUOL" information:
- Sector: Consumer Discretionary
- Industry: Diversified Consumer Services
- Capitalization: $16.6B (TTM average)
Duolingo, Inc. does not follow the US Stock Market performance with the rate: -1.6%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 1.8%: low 183.52$, high 192.89$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 830 (+15.3%) as of 2024
- US accounted for 41.6% of revenue in the fiscal year ended 2024-12-31
- Top business risk factors: Market competition, Rapid growth and limited operating history, Operational and conduct risks, Limited forecasting ability, Cost increases
- Current price 13.7% below estimated low
- Earnings for 9 months up through Q3 exceed our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2024-12-31 to 2026-12-31
- 2024-12-31 to 2025-12-31 estimated range: [218.18$, 360.50$]
- 2025-12-31 to 2026-12-31 estimated range: [208.43$, 348.46$]
Financial Metrics affecting the DUOL estimates:
- Negative: with PPE of 178.1 at the end of fiscal year the price was very high
- Positive: 7.86 < Operating profit margin, % of 8.37
- Positive: Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 6.37 > 6.04
- Positive: 41.86 < Shareholder equity ratio, % of 63.34 <= 63.39
- Negative: negative Industry operating cash flow (median)
- Positive: Industry inventory ratio change (median), % of -0.34 <= -0.15
- Negative: Investing cash flow per share per price, % of -1.49 <= -0.66
- Positive: 0.33 < Operating cash flow per share per price, % of 1.96
Short-term DUOL quotes
Long-term DUOL plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $369.50MM | $531.11MM | $748.02MM |
| Operating Expenses | $434.69MM | $544.37MM | $685.43MM |
| Operating Income | $-65.19MM | $-13.26MM | $62.59MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $6.56MM | $31.04MM | $39.71MM |
| R&D Expense | $150.44MM | $194.35MM | $235.30MM |
| Income(Loss) | $-58.64MM | $17.78MM | $102.31MM |
| Taxes | $0.94MM | $1.71MM | $13.73MM |
| Profit(Loss)* | $-59.57MM | $16.07MM | $88.57MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $542.08MM | $655.50MM | $824.55MM |
| Assets | $747.35MM | $953.96MM | $1,301.73MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $53.66MM | $153.61MM | $285.51MM |
| Capital expenditure | $10.12MM | $13.68MM | $12.12MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-14.17MM | $-13.58MM | $-217.33MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $14.78MM | $2.13MM | $-30.00MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $-1.51 | $0.35 | $2.04 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.