Octave Specialty Group, Inc.
General ticker "OSG" information:
- Sector: Financials
- Industry: Insurance - Specialty
- Capitalization: $241.8M (TTM average)
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. does not follow the US Stock Market performance with the rate: -23.2%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 2.9%: low 5.02$, high 5.32$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 1078 (+5.4%) as of 2023
- Top business risk factors: Liquidity and credit risks, Inability to attract/retain mariners, Customer concentration, Cybersecurity threats, Market volatility
- Current price 11.5% below estimated low
- Earnings for 18 months up through Q2 (+1 year) are below our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2024-12-31 to 2026-12-31
- 2024-12-31 to 2025-12-31 estimated range: [6.70$, 12.40$]
- 2025-12-31 to 2026-12-31 estimated range: [5.95$, 11.19$]
Financial Metrics affecting the OSG estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 29.4 at the end of fiscal year the price was neutral
- Negative: negative Operating income
- Negative: Operating cash flow per share per price, % of 0.13 <= 1.94
- Positive: Industry earnings per price (median), % of 6.75 > 6.20
- Positive: -1.37 < Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of -0.73
- Positive: Interest expense per share per price, % of 1.62 <= 1.64
- Positive: Industry inventory ratio change (median), % of 0 <= 0
- Negative: -0.35 < Inventory ratio change, % of 0
- Positive: 8.96 < Industry operating cash flow per share per price (median), % of 11.16
- Negative: Investing cash flow per share per price, % of -28.73 <= -18.01
Short-term OSG quotes
Long-term OSG plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $53.61MM | $124.73MM | $235.81MM |
| Operating Expenses | $89.32MM | $148.95MM | $295.66MM |
| Operating Income | $-35.71MM | $-24.22MM | $-59.84MM |
| Interest Expense | $167.00MM | $0.00MM | $9.38MM |
| Income(Loss) | $-35.71MM | $-24.22MM | $-59.84MM |
| Taxes | $-0.46MM | $-0.99MM | $-0.92MM |
| Net Income(Loss)* | $521.25MM | $3.63MM | $-556.45MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $339.69MM | $354.05MM | $856.91MM |
| Assets | $1,139.06MM | $1,078.88MM | $8,058.38MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $72.82MM | $102.96MM | $0.76MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-21.15MM | $-30.79MM | $-166.37MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-56.20MM | $-74.64MM | $194.22MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $11.40 | $0.08 | $-11.85 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.