Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
General ticker "NGVC" information:
- Sector: Consumer Staples
- Industry: Grocery Stores
- Capitalization: $948.6M (TTM average)
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. does not follow the US Stock Market performance with the rate: -35.2%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 1.7%: low 26.13$, high 27.03$
Factors to consider:
- Company pays dividends (quarterly): last record date 2025-12-01, amount 0.15$ (Y2.28%)
- Total employees count: 3332 (-20.2%) as of 2024
- Company does not operate outside US (retrieved using AI)
- Top business risk factors: Economic downturns and volatility, Market competition, Supply chain disruptions, Regulatory and compliance, Reputation and brand risks
- Price in estimated range
- Earnings for 3 months up through Q1 exceed our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2025-09-30 to 2027-09-30
- 2025-09-30 to 2026-09-30 estimated range: [24.92$, 40.22$]
- 2026-09-30 to 2027-09-30 estimated range: [22.97$, 37.55$]
Financial Metrics affecting the NGVC estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 18.6 at the end of fiscal year the price was neutral
- Positive: -4.75 < Operating profit margin, % of 4.66
- Positive: Industry inventory ratio change (median), % of -1.10 <= -0.16
- Positive: Inventory ratio change, % of 0.23 <= 0.80
- Positive: Industry operating cash flow per share per price (median), % of 16.71 > 10.29
- Positive: Industry earnings per price (median), % of 5.49 > 4.49
- Negative: Industry operating profit margin (median), % of 2.24 <= 3.01
- Positive: 19.40 < Shareholder equity ratio, % of 31.68 <= 42.68
Short-term NGVC quotes
Long-term NGVC plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | 2025-09-30 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $1,140.57MM | $1,241.59MM | $1,330.84MM |
| Operating Expenses | $1,108.90MM | $1,194.61MM | $1,268.85MM |
| Operating Income | $31.67MM | $46.98MM | $61.99MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-3.30MM | $-4.18MM | $-3.06MM |
| Interest Expense | $3.30MM | $4.18MM | $3.06MM |
| Income(Loss) | $28.37MM | $42.80MM | $58.93MM |
| Taxes | $5.13MM | $8.87MM | $12.48MM |
| Profit(Loss)* | $23.24MM | $33.94MM | $46.44MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $170.84MM | $174.25MM | $212.40MM |
| Inventory | $119.26MM | $120.67MM | $132.97MM |
| Assets | $669.18MM | $655.48MM | $670.50MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $64.61MM | $73.76MM | $55.30MM |
| Capital expenditure | $38.09MM | $38.68MM | $31.20MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-37.95MM | $-38.60MM | $-30.97MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-20.35MM | $-44.63MM | $-16.09MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $1.02 | $1.49 | $2.02 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.