Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
General ticker "GO" information:
- Sector: Consumer Staples
- Industry: Grocery Stores
- Capitalization: $1.2B (TTM average)
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. does not follow the US Stock Market performance with the rate: -9.7%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 2.0%: low 11.91$, high 12.39$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 2207 (-4.3%) as of 2026
- Company does not operate outside US (retrieved using AI)
- Top business risk factors: Supplier dependency, Inventory management, Product sales decline, Distribution disruption, Store openings
- Price in estimated range
- Earnings for 6 months up through Q2 are below our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2026-01-03 to 2028-01-03
- 2026-01-03 to 2027-01-03 estimated range: [7.57$, 14.03$]
- 2027-01-03 to 2028-01-03 estimated range: [7.28$, 13.44$]
Financial Metrics affecting the GO estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 13.4 at the end of fiscal year the price was low
- Negative: negative Operating income
- Positive: Operating cash flow per share per price, % of 22.24 > 13.08
- Negative: negative Net income
- Negative: Industry operating profit margin (median), % of 2.20 <= 2.92
- Positive: Inventory ratio change, % of -0.74 <= 0
- Positive: 18.97 < Shareholder equity ratio, % of 31.82 <= 42.26
- Negative: -0.14 < Industry inventory ratio change (median), % of -0.02
Short-term GO quotes
Long-term GO plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-28 | 2026-01-03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $3,969.45MM | $4,371.50MM | $4,688.76MM |
| Operating Expenses | $3,843.67MM | $4,293.17MM | $4,910.46MM |
| Operating Income | $125.78MM | $78.33MM | $-221.71MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-21.70MM | $-22.16MM | $-27.48MM |
| Interest Expense | $22.91MM | $22.16MM | $27.48MM |
| Income(Loss) | $104.08MM | $56.17MM | $-249.19MM |
| Taxes | $24.64MM | $16.71MM | $-24.27MM |
| Net Income(Loss)* | $79.44MM | $39.47MM | $-224.91MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $1,219.34MM | $1,197.38MM | $983.66MM |
| Inventory | $349.99MM | $394.15MM | $381.96MM |
| Assets | $2,969.59MM | $3,173.82MM | $3,091.10MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $303.45MM | $111.96MM | $222.13MM |
| Capital expenditure | $191.99MM | $186.61MM | $198.33MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-194.16MM | $-274.03MM | $-229.68MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-97.02MM | $109.91MM | $14.32MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $0.80 | $0.40 | $-2.30 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.