First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
General ticker "FWRG" information:
- Sector: Consumer Discretionary
- Industry: Restaurants
- Capitalization: $946.5M (TTM average)
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. does not follow the US Stock Market performance with the rate: -19.7%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 2.3%: low 11.89$, high 12.46$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 17500 (+16.7%) as of 2025
- Company does not operate outside US (retrieved using AI)
- Top business risk factors: Economic downturns and volatility, New restaurant profitability, Strategic risks and growth management, Food safety concerns, Reputation and brand risks
- Earnings for 3 months up through Q1 are below our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2025-12-28 to 2027-12-28
- 2025-12-28 to 2026-12-28 estimated range: [12.44$, 20.36$]
- 2026-12-28 to 2027-12-28 estimated range: [12.46$, 20.46$]
Financial Metrics affecting the FWRG estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 52.4 at the end of fiscal year the price was very low
- Positive: 6.62 < Operating cash flow per share per price, % of 12.72
- Positive: -5.34 < Operating profit margin, % of 2.25
- Negative: 0.74 < Interest expense per share per price, % of 1.69
- Negative: Industry operating profit margin (median), % of 3.83 <= 9.66
- Negative: 0 < Industry inventory ratio change (median), % of 0.19
- Positive: -3.72 < Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 1.10
- Positive: 5.50 < Industry operating cash flow per share per price (median), % of 6.82
Short-term FWRG quotes
Long-term FWRG plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-29 | 2025-12-28 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $893.34MM | $1,017.97MM | $1,224.59MM |
| Operating Expenses | $852.07MM | $979.07MM | $1,197.08MM |
| Operating Income | $41.27MM | $38.91MM | $27.51MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-5.19MM | $-10.88MM | $-15.38MM |
| Interest Expense | $8.06MM | $12.64MM | $16.70MM |
| Income(Loss) | $36.08MM | $28.03MM | $12.13MM |
| Taxes | $10.69MM | $9.10MM | $-7.30MM |
| Net Income(Loss)* | $25.39MM | $18.93MM | $19.43MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $561.28MM | $595.39MM | $626.28MM |
| Inventory | $5.38MM | $6.12MM | $7.17MM |
| Assets | $1,267.05MM | $1,514.36MM | $1,742.03MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $95.34MM | $115.67MM | $125.91MM |
| Capital expenditure | $84.69MM | $127.95MM | $156.91MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-123.37MM | $-206.65MM | $-213.76MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $28.07MM | $74.33MM | $75.79MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $0.43 | $0.31 | $0.32 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.