First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
General ticker "FWRG" information:
- Sector: Consumer Discretionary
- Industry: Restaurants
- Capitalization: $1.1B (TTM average)
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. follows the US Stock Market performance with the rate: 8.4%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 1.9%: low 16.31$, high 16.93$
Factors to consider:
- Total employees count: 15000 (+7.1%) as of 2024
- Company does not operate outside North America (retrieved using AI)
- Top business risk factors: Economic downturns and volatility, Supply chain disruptions, Labor/talent shortage/retention, Cybersecurity threats, Food safety concerns
- Price in estimated range
- Earnings for 9 months up through Q3 are below our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2024-12-29 to 2026-12-29
- 2024-12-29 to 2025-12-29 estimated range: [11.57$, 18.81$]
- 2025-12-29 to 2026-12-29 estimated range: [11.00$, 17.99$]
Financial Metrics affecting the FWRG estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 63.2 at the end of fiscal year the price was neutral
- Positive: -5.02 < Operating profit margin, % of 3.82
- Negative: Investing cash flow per share per price, % of -18.05 <= -14.19
- Positive: 6.63 < Operating cash flow per share per price, % of 10.11
- Positive: Inventory ratio change, % of 0.06 <= 0.82
- Negative: 0.74 < Interest expense per share per price, % of 1.10
- Negative: 0 < Industry inventory ratio change (median), % of 0.21
- Positive: -3.57 < Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 1.23
- Negative: Industry operating cash flow per share per price (median), % of 5.44 <= 10.14
- Negative: Industry earnings per price (median), % of 0.94 <= 4.45
Short-term FWRG quotes
Long-term FWRG plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-29 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $730.16MM | $893.34MM | $1,017.97MM |
| Operating Expenses | $713.25MM | $852.07MM | $979.07MM |
| Operating Income | $16.91MM | $41.27MM | $38.91MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-4.32MM | $-5.19MM | $-10.88MM |
| Interest Expense | $5.23MM | $8.06MM | $12.64MM |
| Income(Loss) | $12.59MM | $36.08MM | $28.03MM |
| Taxes | $5.68MM | $10.69MM | $9.10MM |
| Profit(Loss)* | $6.91MM | $25.39MM | $18.93MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $523.13MM | $561.28MM | $595.39MM |
| Inventory | $5.03MM | $5.38MM | $6.12MM |
| Assets | $1,104.45MM | $1,267.05MM | $1,514.36MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $62.94MM | $95.34MM | $115.67MM |
| Capital expenditure | $63.33MM | $84.69MM | $127.95MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-63.11MM | $-123.37MM | $-206.65MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-2.02MM | $28.07MM | $74.33MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $0.12 | $0.43 | $0.31 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.