Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
General ticker "CMG" information:
- Sector: Consumer Discretionary
- Industry: Restaurants
- Capitalization: $52.2B (TTM average)
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. does not follow the US Stock Market performance with the rate: -7.4%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 1.6%: low 37.38$, high 38.63$
Factors to consider:
- Company included in S&P500 list
- Total employees count: 130301 (-0.2%) as of 2025
- Top business risk factors: Food safety concerns, Reputation and brand risks, Market competition, Labor/talent shortage/retention, IT system failures
- Price in estimated range
- Earnings for 6 months up through Q2 are close to our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2025-12-31 to 2027-12-31
- 2025-12-31 to 2026-12-31 estimated range: [25.83$, 43.73$]
- 2026-12-31 to 2027-12-31 estimated range: [26.09$, 43.31$]
Financial Metrics affecting the CMG estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 32.3 at the end of fiscal year the price was neutral
- Positive: 7.80 < Operating profit margin, % of 16.27
- Positive: Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 14.58 > 6.06
- Positive: Investing cash flow per share per price, % of -0.07 > -0.64
- Negative: Industry operating cash flow per share per price (median), % of 6.72 <= 10.39
- Positive: 18.97 < Shareholder equity ratio, % of 31.47 <= 42.26
- Negative: Industry operating profit margin (median), % of 4.34 <= 9.99
- Positive: 0.28 < Operating cash flow per share per price, % of 4.21
Short-term CMG quotes
Long-term CMG plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $9,833.28MM | $11,286.90MM | $11,898.10MM |
| Operating Expenses | $8,275.47MM | $9,370.57MM | $9,962.30MM |
| Operating Income | $1,557.81MM | $1,916.33MM | $1,935.80MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $62.69MM | $93.90MM | $73.72MM |
| Income(Loss) | $1,620.51MM | $2,010.23MM | $2,009.52MM |
| Taxes | $391.77MM | $476.12MM | $473.76MM |
| Net Income(Loss)* | $1,228.74MM | $1,534.11MM | $1,535.76MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $3,062.21MM | $3,655.55MM | $2,830.61MM |
| Inventory | $39.31MM | $48.94MM | $49.51MM |
| Assets | $8,044.36MM | $9,204.37MM | $8,994.53MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $1,783.48MM | $2,105.08MM | $2,113.93MM |
| Capital expenditure | $560.73MM | $593.60MM | $666.34MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-946.01MM | $-837.53MM | $-35.08MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $-660.65MM | $-1,073.70MM | $-2,470.90MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $0.89 | $1.12 | $1.15 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.