Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
General ticker "AAP" information:
- Sector: Consumer Discretionary
- Industry: Specialty Retail
- Capitalization: $3.2B (TTM average)
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. follows the US Stock Market performance with the rate: 19.6%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 1.1%: low 42.13$, high 43.36$
Factors to consider:
- Company pays dividends (quarterly): last record date 2026-07-10, amount 0.25$ (Y2.34%)
- Total employees count: 54007 (+62.7%) as of 2026
- US accounted for 96.8% of revenue in the fiscal year ended 2024-12-28
- Top business risk factors: Strategic risks and growth management, Supply chain disruptions, Market competition, Liquidity and credit risks, Cybersecurity threats
- Price in estimated range
- Earnings for 6 months up through Q2 exceed our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2026-01-03 to 2028-01-03
- 2026-01-03 to 2027-01-03 estimated range: [33.91$, 62.38$]
- 2027-01-03 to 2028-01-03 estimated range: [32.83$, 60.64$]
Financial Metrics affecting the AAP estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 17.7 at the end of fiscal year the price was neutral
- Negative: Operating cash flow per share per price, % of -1.92 <= 0.28
- Positive: -4.23 < Operating profit margin, % of 1.87
- Negative: Industry earnings per price (median), % of 0 <= 0
- Positive: 0 < Industry operating cash flow per share per price (median), % of 3.02
- Negative: Industry operating profit margin (median), % of -3.30 <= 2.92
- Negative: Interest expense per share per price, % of 5.81 > 3.34
- Negative: Investing cash flow per share per price, % of -9.99 <= -4.49
Short-term AAP quotes
Long-term AAP plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2023-12-30 | 2024-12-28 | 2026-01-03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $11,287.61MM | $9,094.00MM | $8,601.00MM |
| Operating Expenses | $11,173.23MM | $9,498.00MM | $8,440.00MM |
| Operating Income | $114.38MM | $-404.00MM | $161.00MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-82.53MM | $-364.00MM | $-252.00MM |
| Interest Expense | $88.00MM | $81.00MM | $139.00MM |
| Income(Loss) | $31.85MM | $-768.00MM | $-91.00MM |
| Taxes | $2.11MM | $-181.00MM | $-159.00MM |
| Net Income(Loss)* | $29.73MM | $-336.00MM | $44.00MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $2,519.73MM | $2,170.00MM | $2,198.00MM |
| Inventory | $3,893.57MM | $3,612.00MM | $3,646.00MM |
| Assets | $12,276.33MM | $10,798.00MM | $11,826.00MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $287.38MM | $84.63MM | $-46.00MM |
| Capital expenditure | $225.67MM | $180.80MM | $252.00MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-235.49MM | $1,354.75MM | $-239.00MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $189.27MM | $-75.01MM | $1,538.00MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $0.50 | $-5.63 | $0.73 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.