Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
General ticker "AAP" information:
- Sector: Consumer Discretionary
- Industry: Specialty Retail
- Capitalization: $3.2B (TTM average)
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. follows the US Stock Market performance with the rate: 12.2%.
Estimated limits based on current volatility of 2.3%: low 42.53$, high 44.53$
Factors to consider:
- Company pays dividends (quarterly): last record date 2026-10-09, amount 0.25$ (Y2.25%)
- Total employees count: 54007 (+62.7%) as of 2026
- US accounted for 96.6% of revenue in the fiscal year ended 2026-01-03
- Top business risk factors: Strategic risks and growth management, Supply chain disruptions, Market competition, Liquidity and credit risks, Cybersecurity threats
- Price in estimated range
- Earnings for 6 months up through Q2 exceed our estimates
Stock Forecast*
* forecast is subjective and experimental, should not be used for any investment decisions
Long term estimates were made for the period from 2026-01-03 to 2028-01-03
- 2026-01-03 to 2027-01-03 estimated range: [33.95$, 62.46$]
- 2027-01-03 to 2028-01-03 estimated range: [32.86$, 60.71$]
Financial Metrics affecting the AAP estimates:
- Positive: with PPE of 17.7 at the end of fiscal year the price was neutral
- Negative: Operating cash flow per share per price, % of -1.92 <= 2.37
- Positive: 0.56 < Operating profit margin, % of 1.87
- Positive: -0.55 < Return on assets ratio (scaled to [-100,100]) of 0.57
- Negative: Industry inventory ratio change (median), % of 1.31 > 1.15
- Positive: 12.78 < Shareholder equity ratio, % of 18.59 <= 25.20
- Positive: 0.90 < Industry operating cash flow per share per price (median), % of 3.02
- Positive: Interest expense per share per price, % of 5.81 <= 10.35
Short-term AAP quotes
Long-term AAP plot with estimates
Financial data
| YTD | 2023-12-30 | 2024-12-28 | 2026-01-03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Revenue | $11,287.61MM | $9,094.00MM | $8,601.00MM |
| Operating Expenses | $11,173.23MM | $9,498.00MM | $8,440.00MM |
| Operating Income | $114.38MM | $-404.00MM | $161.00MM |
| Non-Operating Income | $-82.53MM | $-364.00MM | $-252.00MM |
| Interest Expense | $88.00MM | $81.00MM | $139.00MM |
| Income(Loss) | $31.85MM | $-768.00MM | $-91.00MM |
| Taxes | $2.11MM | $-181.00MM | $-159.00MM |
| Net Income(Loss)* | $29.73MM | $-336.00MM | $44.00MM |
| Stockholders Equity | $2,519.73MM | $2,170.00MM | $2,198.00MM |
| Inventory | $3,893.57MM | $3,612.00MM | $3,646.00MM |
| Assets | $12,276.33MM | $10,798.00MM | $11,826.00MM |
| Operating Cash Flow | $287.38MM | $84.63MM | $-46.00MM |
| Capital expenditure | $225.67MM | $180.80MM | $252.00MM |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-235.49MM | $1,354.75MM | $-239.00MM |
| Financing Cash Flow | $189.27MM | $-75.01MM | $1,538.00MM |
| Earnings Per Share** | $0.50 | $-5.63 | $0.73 |
* Profit(Loss) attributable to entity.
** EPS are Split Adjusted, recent splits may be reflected with a delay.